Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.232649 26.902827 30.897736 35.560322 40.843661 46.635210 53.455011
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 16.834058 21.803278 27.757409 35.374823 44.814319 56.077181 70.477643
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.738021 18.061161 24.948003 34.416336 46.985687 62.974948 84.708710
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.333005 15.813079 23.371984 34.398192 49.875200 70.596703 100.156175
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.681442 14.212356 22.281658 34.670796 52.909205 78.405477 116.273682
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.856352 11.991429 19.903208 32.663168 52.317033 80.930716 125.057506
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.111119 11.304486 19.682113 33.758860 56.265513 90.138282 143.992843
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.632146 10.963037 19.926423 35.549962 61.370244 101.381534 166.714101
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.776386 9.817381 18.674456 34.719868 62.168833 106.009716 179.586040
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.947266 8.573983 17.071570 33.070362 61.391379 107.989474 188.316328
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.773827 8.554541 17.638759 35.251129 67.244440 121.072471 215.737327
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.739912 8.805399 18.724667 38.458117 75.122441 138.016850 250.557128
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.332709 8.248519 18.261325 38.859614 78.262639 147.559344 274.329984
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.874673 7.507498 17.349263 38.327334 79.705793 154.394859 294.209231
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.436346 6.723501 16.229817 37.233033 79.954215 159.092083 310.649930
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.149014 6.239405 15.671805 37.200723 82.219502 167.569787 334.374873
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.923572 5.863397 15.293917 37.490552 85.126762 177.415519 361.213137
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.574341 5.087480 13.878740 35.336288 82.811135 177.138921 369.153584
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.465673 4.946644 13.948076 36.511742 87.554298 190.842616 404.442116
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.405137 4.931858 14.324002 38.432774 94.054513 208.441107 448.299060
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.215064 4.489870 13.552504 37.542539 94.312050 213.502154 467.907154
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.014495 3.965395 12.478674 35.773072 92.410809 213.970690 478.352250
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.997314 4.034745 13.022436 38.112304 100.118075 234.964809 531.548680